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It is reported that the European Central Bank is considering cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in the next two meetings. According to informed sources, as the inflation rate stabilizes at the target of 2% and economic growth is sluggish, ECB officials plan to cut interest rates by another 25 basis points in January, and there may be another one in March. People familiar with the matter said that as long as the economic development meets current expectations, gradually reducing the borrowing cost is the most appropriate path. They believe that cutting interest rates by 50 basis points at a time in an emergency is still an option, but this move may convey an unexpected sense of urgency. According to people familiar with the matter, officials have not yet made any decision, and every meeting will be evaluated based on all available information, even after March. They stressed that once the situation becomes clearer after Trump takes office in January, the policy inclination of the central bank may change.There is still a worry about the imbalance between supply and demand. There is limited room for alumina futures to continue to fall. Since the intraday record of 5,540 yuan/ton on December 5, the main contract price of domestic alumina futures has started to fluctuate and fall, reaching a minimum of 5,077 yuan/ton on December 12, with the cumulative maximum decline exceeding 8%. According to industry insiders, the increase of alumina registered delivery brands and the sharp drop in overseas alumina spot quotations have led to the recent decline in alumina futures prices. Although the short-term news in the market is intertwined, the imbalance between supply and demand in the alumina market has not fundamentally improved, so there is limited room for the subsequent decline of alumina futures prices. (CSI)Israeli bombing of Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza has killed 25 people. On the evening of 12th, local time, the reporter of the Headquarters learned that Israeli bombing of a building in Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza has killed 25 people and injured many others.

BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Kirby, spokesman of the National Security Council of the United States, announced a new plan for weapons assistance to Ukraine.Israeli bombing of Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza has killed 25 people. On the evening of 12th, local time, the reporter of the Headquarters learned that Israeli bombing of a building in Nuseilet refugee camp in central Gaza has killed 25 people and injured many others.

New york street folk "wanted order" aggravates business panic. In addition to the killed CEO, there are also financial executives. new york police are investigating the so-called "wanted order" posted on the streets of Manhattan aimed at business executives. On these "wanted orders", in addition to Brian Thompson, a senior figure of insurance giant UnitedHealth Group Inc, who was shot dead in the street last Wednesday, there are also portraits of senior executives of financial enterprises. Thompson's photo was marked with a red cross. This is the latest in a series of events that caused anxiety among business leaders after Thompson was shot. A spokesman for the new york Police Department said that in addition to these notices, there has been a surge in online threats against corporate executives. Luigi Mangione, a 26-year-old man accused of Thompson's murder, was arrested with a declaration condemning the profiteering of the medical industry, saying that "these parasites are purely asking for it". According to a law enforcement agency document, new york police said that they were on high alert for "the risk that extremists of all colors may regard Mangione as a martyr and follow an example". "These arguments may indicate that the threats faced by executives will intensify in the short term," the document said.Reiterating that "stabilizing the property market" releases a stronger signal, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11 to 12. In terms of real estate, the meeting called for "stabilizing the property market" and "continuously pushing the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize". Experts said that the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held in September first mentioned "promoting the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize", the the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held in December made it clear that "stabilizing the property market", and the Central Economic Work Conference reiterated "stabilizing the property market" and emphasized "continuously pushing the real estate market to stop falling and stabilize", which reflected the firm attitude of promoting the real estate market. It is expected that the policy of "stabilizing the property market" in the next stage will continue to exert efforts, do a good job and promote new and greater results. (CSI)U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."